A critical review of the events of today shows that Nigeria as a country is heading to nothing other than an eventual breakup. Since after the first Civil War that saw determined Biafrans decimated by a less determined Nigerians, due to the massive supply of weapons and man power by the British government. Those that were Nigerians then have not failed to remind the South East and South South of today about what happened to their fathers in those days. They remind them how their hospitals, schools, farm lands and markets were bombarded. They tell them how their territories were blockaded leaving millions of Biafran children dead. They are always quick to ask Biafrans to ask their fathers how they suffered during that genocidal War. A typical Northerner and South Westerner have refused to understand that things have changed with the cause of time. It is on this note I want to discuss about the ongoing War of confusion and impending anarchy that is about to befall Nigeria.
The truth is that, it is only the blind that will claim ignorant of the anarchy that Nigeria is and will become sooner than expected. I am not partisan, but I will not fail to state that the emergence of the All Progressive Congress (APC) was for a reason. It’s coming was meant to expose Nigeria for what it truly is. The true image of Nigeria and the hopelessness of 1999 Constitution have been somehow hidden for sixteen years under the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). It took the APC just three years to expose it all. Who would have believed that Nigeria has a constitution that aids tyranny? Who would have believed that a group can kill more than 6,000 Nigerians in 3years without a single arrest. It is now known to all that Nigeria is not one and has never been one. People thought they saw rigging under the PDP, but the APC has in three years proven that PDP was indeed like a kid when it comes to rigging and corruption. The President’s lopsided appointments, his ill- treatment of the Easterners and other parts of the country since he assumed office are signs that Nigeria is destined to disintegrate.
The future is bleak for Nigeria. This writer sees an APC win come 2019, unless President Buhari decides not to contest or the caliphate falls out with him. He sees the President increasing the tempo of intimidation. He sees more Media clampdown, arrest of journalists and even death of more Civilians. Nigeria is heading to anarchy. The government of the day will be out to decimate every opposing voice. There will be uprising in the Middle Belt, South South and South East, with the South West having a relative peace as they benefit from the rot Nigeria is after the Fulanis – a ploy by the Fulani to conquer their territory totally.
The Middle Belt will rise up. They will decode the intention of the Fulanis. They will understand that it is about ethnic cleansing and land grabbing. They will suddenly say no to the wanton killing of their women and children by the government pampered if not sponsored Islamic Fulani herdsmen terrorists.
South South and South East will take their agitation to expel Nigeria out of their territory to a heightened level. The king of the North will draft an Army against the Middle Belt and against Easterners. His order will be to crush every uprising. He will completely forget a call for prayers. This will heighten tension. It will lead to division in the Army. The soldiers who are already unhappy with the way things are going on in the country will start deserting the one-sided justice barren Nigerian Military. This will mark the beginning to an end of what you know today as Nigeria. Do not take my word for it, evidence abound.
Nigeria fought a Civil War in 1960s and there won’t be any such War again. Those thinking that Nigeria will ever fight another Civil War are mistaking. The question is: who will fight who? The only group clamouring for War in Nigeria now is the Fulani, but they cannot fight alone. There will be anarchy. There might be killings, but it will never degenerate into Civil War. This is because Nigeria of today has lost what it takes to fight a Civil War. Nigeria is completely disunited to fight a unity War. The uprising will happen simultaneously. Unlike in 1967 the Middle Belt who provided more than 50% manpower will be totally unwilling to fight a War of uniting a Nigeria that slaughters them on daily basis. The Yorubas who benefit from the ill-structured Nigeria will never support going to War because they will be the highest loser. They will guard Lagos jealously. Without other regions supporting Fulani War mongers, they will move into self destruction.
Interesting times lies ahead! Nigeria will surely hit a rock, but there won’t be any War.